Demographic Change and its Implications in India
Indian Economy
- PYQs8
- Articles1
Background
This concept is critical for UPSC as it directly impacts India's economic growth potential (demographic dividend), social cohesion, resource management, public service delivery, and internal security. It is a cross-cutting theme relevant to GS1 (Society), GS2 (Governance, Welfare), and GS3 (Internal Security).
Demographic change refers to shifts in the characteristics of a population over time, including size, age structure, birth rates, death rates, and migration patterns. In India, these dynamics are crucial for understanding socio-economic development, resource allocation, and future challenges.
Facts & tables
- Key Demographic Shifts
- India is experiencing shifts like rising life expectancy and falling birth rates, altering its population composition.
- Demographic Dividend Challenge
- Concerns exist regarding India's ability to harness its 'demographic dividend' due to challenges in education, health, and employment dynamics.
- Government's Perspective
- The government views 'unnatural demographic change,' particularly linked to illegal infiltration, as a significant challenge to national security, sovereignty, social structure, and resource distribution.
- Role of Migration
- Migration, both historical and ongoing, continues to significantly shape India's demographic trajectory.
| Type | Reference |
|---|---|
| Conceptual area | Indian Economy |
| Conceptual area | Indian Society |
| Conceptual area | Internal Security |
| Body | Role |
|---|---|
| High-Level Committee on Demographic Change | Investigates and recommends solutions for demographic shifts, including those related to abnormal population changes and infiltrators |
Prelims angle
Prelims angle: Factual recall
Prelims angle: Multi-statement analysis
- Demographic change involves shifts in population size, age, birth/death rates, and migration.
- India faces challenges in leveraging its demographic dividend due to issues in education, health, and employment.
- Government links 'unnatural demographic change' to national security and social stability.
- A High-Level Committee is formed to study these changes and recommend solutions.
- Concerns exist about securitisation of demography and potential for communal profiling.
| Year | Framing tags |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Factual recall, Multi-statement analysis |
| 2024 | Definition-based questions, Conceptual understanding |
| 2022 | Statement-based questions, Conceptual understanding |
| 2022 | Multi-statement analysis, Factual recall |
| 2021 | Multi-statement analysis, Factual recall |
| 2020 | Multi-statement analysis, Conceptual understanding |
| 2017 | Statement-based questions, Factual recall |
| 2013 | Policy measures, Conceptual understanding |
Timeline
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Indian Economy
Conceptual area
-
Indian Society
Conceptual area
-
Internal Security
Conceptual area
-
Prelims 2013
Policy measures, Conceptual understanding
-
Prelims 2017
Statement-based questions, Factual recall
-
Prelims 2020
Multi-statement analysis, Conceptual understanding
-
Prelims 2021
Multi-statement analysis, Factual recall
-
Prelims 2022
Statement-based questions, Conceptual understanding
-
Prelims 2022
Multi-statement analysis, Factual recall
-
Prelims 2024
Factual recall, Multi-statement analysis
-
Prelims 2024
Definition-based questions, Conceptual understanding
-
Politics over people: On India’s High-Level Committee on Demographic Change
India's demographic profile is undergoing significant changes, with implications for its demographic dividend, social fabric, and national security, prompting government intervention and policy debates.
See also
No related topics linked yet.
Past papers
2013–2024 · 8 questions
In the news
Politics over people: On India’s High-Level Committee on Demographic Change
India's demographic profile is undergoing significant changes, with implications for its demographic dividend, social fabric, and national security, prompting government intervention and policy debates.
Try these PYQs
Consider the following countries :
1. Italy
2. Japan
3. Nigeria
4. South Korea
5. South Africa
Which of the above countries are frequently mentioned in the media for their low birth rates, or ageing population or declining population?
* Italy and Japan are often cited as prime examples of countries with rapidly ageing populations and very low birth rates. Both countries have been grappling with the economic and social consequences of these demographic trends for several years. * South Korea has also emerged as a country with significant demographic concerns. Its fertility rate is one of the lowest in the world, and its population is projected to start declining in the coming years. * Nigeria and South Africa, while facing their own set of demographic challenges, are generally not highlighted for low birth rates or declining populations. Nigeria has a very young and rapidly growing population. South Africa’s population growth has slowed in recent years, but it is not yet experiencing a decline.
Consider the following statements:
1. Vietnam has been one of the fastest growing economies in the world in recent years.
2. Vietnam is led by a multi-party political system.
3. Vietnam's economic growth is linked to its integration with global supply chains and focus on exports.
4. For a long time, Vietnam's low labor costs and stable exchange rates have attracted global manufacturers.
5. Vietnam has the most productive e-service sector in the Indo-Pacific region.
Which of the statements given above are correct?
Statements 1 and 3 are correct. Vietnam’s open economic policy of recent years integrating into global supply chains has made the growth success story possible. Vietnam's export-led growth strategy and global integration are among the key factors behind the country's remarkable achievements in growth and poverty. Vietnam was one among the few countries to post GDP growth rate figures in 2020 when the pandemic hit. Vietnam is projected to be the fastest-growing internet economy in Southeast Asia in the next 10 years. Statement 2 is not correct. Vietnam is a one-party communist state, not a multi-party parliamentary democracy. Statement 4 is correct. Thanks to an abundance of low-wage labour, Vietnam's manufacturing sector grew at a compound annual growth in the last decade. As the rest of East Asia developed and wages there rose, global manufacturers were lured by Vietnam's low labour costs and stable exchange rate. Hence, Statement 5 is not correct. According to the Asian Development Bank Report, e-services including digital financial services are at a very nascent stage in Vietnam.
With reference to the Indian economy, consider the following statements :
1. A share of the household financial savings goes towards government borrowings.
2. Dated securities issued at market-related rates in auctions form a large component of internal debt;
Which of the above statements is/are correct ?
Statement 1 is correct: A portion of household financial savings in India does indeed go towards government borrowings. The government raises funds through various debt instruments like bonds and treasury bills. When households save money, they might invest it in these government debt instruments through banks or other financial institutions. This provides a source of funding for the government while offering a return to the investors (savers). Statement 2 is correct: Dated securities are a major component of India's internal debt. These are essentially government bonds issued at market-determined interest rates through auctions. Investors, including households, banks, and financial institutions, can participate in these auctions and purchase dated securities. Hence, both statements are correct.
With reference to the casual workers employed in India, consider the following statements:
1. All casual workers are entitled for Employees Provident Fund coverage.
2. All casual workers are entitled for regular working hours and overtime payment.
3. The government can by a notification specify that an establishment or industry shall pay wages only through its bank account.
Which of the above statements are correct?
Statement 1 is not correct: The Government had launched a scheme viz Casual Labourers (Grant of Temporary Status and Regularization) Scheme of Government of India, 1993. As per the scheme, Temporary status would be conferred on all casual labourers who were in employment and who have rendered a continuous service of at least one year, which means that they must have been engaged for at least 240 days (206 days in case of offices observing 5 days week). Statement 2 is correct: The Supreme Court has decreed that casual workers are also entitled to social security benefits as stipulated in the Employees Provident Funds and Miscellaneous Provisions Act. The Court's ruling stemmed from its interpretation of Section 2(f) of the EPF Act, wherein the definition of an "employee" encompasses a broad scope, including any individual engaged directly or indirectly in connection with an establishment's work and receiving wages. A bench of the Supreme Court affirmed this viewpoint. Statement 3 is correct: The government has the authority to specify through a notification that an establishment or industry is obligated to disburse wages exclusively via its bank account.
Consider the following in respect of ‘National Career Service’:
1. National Career Service is an initiative of the Department of Personnel and Training, Government of India.
2. National Career Service has been launched in a Mission Mode to improve the employment opportunities to uneducated youth of the country.
Which of the above statements is/are correct?
Statement 1 is incorrect. The National Career Service is not an initiative of the Department of Personnel and Training, Government of India. It is actually implemented by the Directorate General of Employment, Ministry of Labour & Employment. Statement 2 is incorrect. The National Career Service has indeed been launched in a Mission Mode, but it is not specifically targeted at improving the employment opportunities for uneducated youth of the country. It is a comprehensive platform providing a wide array of employment and career related services to all citizens of India, aiming to bridge the gap between jobseekers and employers, candidates seeking training and career guidance, and agencies providing training and career counselling.
Show 3 more PYQs
To obtain full benefits of demographic dividend, what should India do?
To rip the maximum demographic dividend, India has to promote skill development. This is what the Economic Survey and 12th FYP have been advocating.
With reference of the Indian economy after the 1991 economic liberalization, consider the following statements:
1. Worker productivity (per worker at 2004-05 prices) increased in urban areas while it decreased in rural areas.
2. The percentage share of rural areas in the workforce steadily increased.
3. In rural areas, the growth in non-farm economy increased.
4. The growth rate in rural employment decreased.
Which of the statements given above is/are correct?
Statement 1 is incorrect. After the 1991 economic liberalization, worker productivity increased both in urban and rural areas. While urban areas experienced higher growth, rural areas also saw improvements, especially with the rise in non-farm activities. Statement 2 is incorrect. The percentage share of rural areas in the workforce has steadily decreased since liberalization. This is because more people have moved to urban areas for employment in the industrial and service sectors, contributing to the growing urban workforce. Statement 3 is correct. In rural areas, the growth of the non-farm economy increased significantly. With liberalization, the diversification of rural economies into sectors like manufacturing, construction, and services grew, reducing the dependency on agriculture. Statement 4 is correct. The growth rate in rural employment decreased after 1991. While the rural economy diversified, the agricultural sector did not provide enough employment opportunities to absorb all the labor, leading to lower growth in rural employment. Hence, option B is the correct answer.
The total fertility rate in an economy is defined as:
* The number of children born per 1000 people in the population in a year. This describes the crude birth rate, not the total fertility rate. * The number of children born to a couple in their lifetime in a given population. This is close but not quite accurate. The total fertility rate is calculated for women, not couples. * The birth rate minus death rate. This defines the rate of natural increase, which indicates population growth, not fertility. * The average number of live births a woman would have by the end of her child-bearing age. This is the correct definition of Total Fertility Rate (TFR). It's a hypothetical measure assuming a woman lives through her childbearing years and experiences the age-specific fertility rates of a given period. * In simple terms, TFR tells us the average number of children a woman would have if current birth trends continued.