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Diversification gains: On India and its export competitiveness

21 May 2026 Source

Exam Summary

The article analyzes India's commendable export performance in April 2026, noting a nearly 14% growth in merchandise exports to $43.6 billion, partly due to price increases and significant diversification of export destinations. Non-oil exports also grew by 9%, indicating resilience beyond inflated petroleum prices. The services sector's share in total exports has risen to 49%, but the article cautions against complacency due to potential competitive losses from Artificial Intelligence. A major concern is the sharp decline in trade with West Asia (exports down 28%, imports down 32%) due to ongoing crises, which current diversification gains haven't fully offset. The article concludes by emphasizing the need for India to further enhance its export competitiveness in terms of cost, scale, and quality to become a global contender.

GS Paper II: International Relations (Geopolitical impact on trade, trade deals). GS Paper III: Indian Economy (Growth, Development, Trade, Balance of Payments, Industrial Policy, Services Sector, Impact of Technology on Economy).

Exam Themes

Prelims Takeaways

  • India's merchandise export growth in April 2026 was nearly 14% ($43.6 billion).
  • Non-oil export growth in April 2026 was approximately 9% ($40 billion).
  • The services sector's share in India's total exports has risen to about 49% (from 39% in 2014).
  • Key resilient export sectors include engineering goods, petroleum products, electronic goods, drugs and pharmaceuticals, and organic/inorganic chemicals.
  • Exports to West Asia fell by 28% and imports from the region fell by 32% in April 2026 due to geopolitical crises.
  • Gold imports jumped 82% in April, leading to a government hike in import duty.
  • Export diversification involves expanding both product basket and destination markets.

Elimination Traps

  • Attributing all export growth solely to diversification without acknowledging the role of rising prices.
  • Overlooking the significant negative impact of the West Asia crisis on trade despite overall positive export figures.
  • Interpreting the rise in services exports as a reason for complacency, ignoring the potential disruption from AI.
  • Confusing merchandise export growth with overall export growth (which includes services).
  • Specific percentage figures (e.g., 14% growth, 49% services share, 28% fall in West Asia exports) could be slightly altered in MCQs to test attention to detail.

Static Concepts

  • Balance of Trade
  • Merchandise Exports
  • Services Exports
  • Export Diversification
  • Trade Competitiveness
  • Geopolitical Risks
  • Import Duty
  • Safe-haven asset (Gold)
  • Artificial Intelligence (AI)
  • Supply Chains
  • Free Trade Agreements

Probable Question Areas

Question areas
  • Prelims
Question areas
  • 1. Which of the following statements accurately describe India's recent export performance and diversification efforts?
Question areas
  • 2. Consider the implications of geopolitical events, such as the West Asia crisis, on India's trade balance.
Question areas
  • 3. What is the current share of the services sector in India's total exports, and what are the emerging challenges it faces?
Question areas
  • 4. What measures has the Indian government taken to address the surge in gold imports?
Question areas
  • Mains
Question areas
  • 1. "Despite commendable growth in merchandise exports and increasing diversification, India's export competitiveness faces significant challenges." Discuss this statement in the context of recent trade trends and geopolitical developments. (GS-III Economy)
Question areas
  • 2. Analyze the role of the services sector in India's overall export strategy and discuss the emerging challenges, particularly from technological advancements like Artificial Intelligence. (GS-III Economy)
Question areas
  • 3. Examine the impact of geopolitical crises, such as the West Asia crisis, on India's trade relations and its efforts towards export diversification. What measures can India take to mitigate such risks? (GS-II International Relations, GS-III Economy)
Question areas
  • 4. Critically evaluate the government's strategy for boosting India's export competitiveness. What further steps are needed to make India a global contender in exports? (GS-III Economy)
Conceptual Recurrence

Related Prelims PYQs

Ranked by topic match, theme match, recency, and recurring UPSC patterns.

UPSC Prelims 2020 Economy

With reference to the international trade of India at present, which of the following statements is/are correct?

1. India’s merchandise exports are less than its merchandise imports.
2. India’s imports of iron and steel, chemicals, fertilisers and machinery have decreased in recent years.
3. India’s exports of services are more than its imports of services.
4. India suffers from an overall trade/current account deficit.

Select the correct answer using the code given below:

  1. A. 1 and 2 only
  2. B. 2 and 4 only
  3. C. 3 only
  4. D. 1, 3 and 4 only
Explanation
Correct answer
D. 1, 3 and 4 only

Statement 1 is correct. Merchandise trade deficit is the largest component of India's current account deficit. As per RBIs data, India's Merchandise exports during April-August 2019- 2020 were USD 133.14 billion, as compared to USD 210.39 billion of imports during the same period. Statement 2 is incorrect. Commodity-wise composition of imports between 2011-12 and 2018-19 shows that imports of iron and steel, organic chemicals, industrial machinery have registered positive growth rates as % of share in imports. Statement 3 is correct. India's net services (service exports - service imports) have been in surplus. India's Service exports during April-August 2019- 2020 were USD 67.24 billion, as compared to USD 39.25 billion of imports during the same period. Statement 4 is correct. Current Account Deficit (CAD) or trade deficit is the shortfall between exports and imports. As per Economic Survey 2019-20, India's CAD was 2.1% in 2018-19, and 1.5% of GDP in H1 of 2019-20. Therefore, the correct answer is (D) 1, 3 and 4 only. _NOTE: UPSC has not considered this question for marking._

Indian Economy Current Affairs External Sector & Capital Flows
UPSC Prelims 2018 Economy

Consider the following statements
1. The quantity of imported edible oils is more than the domestic production of edible oils in the last five years.
2. The Government does not impose any customs duty on all the imported edible oils as a special case.

Which of the two statements given above is/are correct

  1. A. 1 only
  2. B. 2 only
  3. C. Both 1 and 2
  4. D. Neither 1 nor 2
Explanation
Correct answer
A. 1 only

Statement 1 is correct. Domestic production of edible oil in 2018 was around 100 Lakh Metric tons (LMT) while import was around 150 LMT. Statement 2 is incorrect. The Government of India does impose customs duties on imported edible oils. The rates of these duties may vary depending on various factors, including the type of edible oil, international market conditions, and government policies aimed at promoting domestic production or protecting domestic producers.

Indian Economy Agriculture Indian Polity & Governance Agricultural Policies & Supply Chains Public Finance & Taxation
UPSC Prelims 2022 Economy

With reference to the Indian economy, consider the following statements:

1. An increase in Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) indicates the appreciation of rupee.
2. An increase in the Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) indicates an improvement in trade competitiveness.
3. An increasing trend in domestic inflation relative to inflation in other countries is likely to cause an increasing divergence between NEER and REER.

Which of the above statements are correct?

  1. A. 1 and 2 only
  2. B. 2 and 3 only
  3. C. 1 and 3 only
  4. D. 1, 2 and 3
Explanation
Correct answer
C. 1 and 3 only

* Statement 1 is correct. The nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) is a measure of the value of a country's currency against a basket of other currencies weighted by their importance in trade. If NEER increases, it means that the value of the currency has increased relative to the currencies in the basket, indicating appreciation. * Statement 2 is incorrect. The Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) takes into account both nominal exchange rates and relative price levels (inflation) between countries. An increase in REER means that the country's currency is overvalued relative to its trading partners, which can reduce trade competitiveness. * Statement 3 is correct. If domestic inflation is higher than inflation in other countries, the real value of the domestic currency decreases faster than the nominal value, causing a divergence between NEER and REER. Therefore, the correct statements are 1 and 3.

Indian Economy External Sector & Capital Flows Macroeconomic Trends & Inflation
UPSC Prelims 2023 Economy

Consider the following statements :
Statement-I : India accounts for 3.2% of global export of goods.
Statement-II :Many local companies and some foreign companies operating in India have taken advantage of India's 'Production-linked Incentive' scheme.

Which one of the following is correct in respect of the above statements?

  1. A. Both Statement-I and Statement-II are correct and StatementII is the correct explanation for Statement-I
  2. B. Both Statement-I and Statement-II are correct and StatementII is not the correct explanation for Statement-I
  3. C. Statement-I is correct but StatementII is incorrect
  4. D. Statement-I is incorrect but Statement-II is correct
Explanation
Correct answer
D. Statement-I is incorrect but Statement-II is correct

* Statement I is incorrect: India's share in global merchandise trade is only 1.8% and 4% in global services. India plans to increase its export share in global trade from 2.1% to 3% by 2027 and 10% by 2047. * Statement II is correct: The PLI scheme is open to both domestic and international manufacturers. Samsung as well as Indian firms such as Dixon Technologies, UTL, Neolyncs, Lava International, Optiemus Electronics and Micromax are also expanding their factories to take advantage of the PLI scheme.

Indian Economy Current Affairs Social Justice & Development External Sector & Capital Flows Public Finance & Taxation
UPSC Prelims 2022 International Relations

Consider the following statements:

1. Vietnam has been one of the fastest growing economies in the world in recent years.
2. Vietnam is led by a multi-party political system.
3. Vietnam's economic growth is linked to its integration with global supply chains and focus on exports.
4. For a long time, Vietnam's low labor costs and stable exchange rates have attracted global manufacturers.
5. Vietnam has the most productive e-service sector in the Indo-Pacific region.

Which of the statements given above are correct?

  1. A. 2 and 4
  2. B. 3 and 5
  3. C. 1, 3 and 4
  4. D. 1 and 2
Explanation
Correct answer
C. 1, 3 and 4

Statements 1 and 3 are correct. Vietnam’s open economic policy of recent years integrating into global supply chains has made the growth success story possible. Vietnam's export-led growth strategy and global integration are among the key factors behind the country's remarkable achievements in growth and poverty. Vietnam was one among the few countries to post GDP growth rate figures in 2020 when the pandemic hit. Vietnam is projected to be the fastest-growing internet economy in Southeast Asia in the next 10 years. Statement 2 is not correct. Vietnam is a one-party communist state, not a multi-party parliamentary democracy. Statement 4 is correct. Thanks to an abundance of low-wage labour, Vietnam's manufacturing sector grew at a compound annual growth in the last decade. As the rest of East Asia developed and wages there rose, global manufacturers were lured by Vietnam's low labour costs and stable exchange rate. Hence, Statement 5 is not correct. According to the Asian Development Bank Report, e-services including digital financial services are at a very nascent stage in Vietnam.

International Relations Current Affairs Indian Polity & Governance External Sector & Capital Flows Macroeconomic Trends & Inflation Labor & Demographic Economics
UPSC Prelims 2017 Economy

Which of the following has/have occurred in India after its liberalization of economic policies in 1991?

1. The share of agriculture in GDP increased enormously.
2. The share of India’s exports in world trade increased.
3. FDI inflows increased.
4. India’s foreign exchange reserves increased enormously.

Select the correct answer using the codes given below :

  1. A. 1 and 4 only
  2. B. 2, 3 and 4 only
  3. C. 2 and 3 only
  4. D. 1, 2, 3 and 4
Explanation
Correct answer
B. 2, 3 and 4 only

Statement 1 is Incorrect: Share of agriculture in GDP has actually decreased since 1991, as the service sector has grown significantly. Statement 2 is Correct: Share of India's exports in world trade has increased. India has become a more integrated part of the global economy, with a larger export footprint. Statement 3 is Correct: FDI inflows have increased considerably. The liberalisation measures made India a more attractive destination for foreign investment. Statement 4 is Correct: India's foreign exchange reserves have also increased enormously. This reflects India's improved ability to generate foreign currency and manage its external finances. Therefore, the correct answer is 2, 3, and 4 only. Hence, option B is the correct answer.

Indian Economy External Sector & Capital Flows Macroeconomic Trends & Inflation
UPSC Prelims 2021 Economy

Consider the following statements:
The effect of devaluation of a currency is that it necessarily:-
1. improves the competitiveness of the domestic exports in the foreign markets.
2. increases the foreign value of domestic currency.
3. improves the trade balance.

Which of the above statements is/are correct?

  1. A. 1 Only
  2. B. 1 and 2
  3. C. 3 Only
  4. D. 2 and 3
Explanation
Correct answer
A. 1 Only

Statement 1 is correct. When a country devalues its currency, it becomes cheaper for foreign buyers to purchase the country's exports. This can lead to increased demand for exports, making domestic producers more competitive in the international market. Statement 2 is incorrect. Devaluation actually decreases the foreign value of the domestic currency. The whole point is to make the domestic currency less expensive relative to foreign currencies. Statement 3 is also incorrect. While improved export competitiveness can lead to a better trade balance (more exports, fewer imports), it's not a guaranteed outcome. Other factors like import prices, global demand, and domestic production costs can also influence the trade balance. Devaluation can also lead to increased import costs if the country relies on imported raw materials. Therefore, the correct code is 1 only.

Indian Economy External Sector & Capital Flows
UPSC Prelims 2016 Economy

Recently, India’s first ‘National Investment and Manufacturing Zone’ was proposed to be set up in -

  1. A. Andhra Pradesh
  2. B. Gujarat
  3. C. Maharashtra
  4. D. Uttar Pradesh
Explanation
Correct answer
A. Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh is set to house India's first national investment and manufacturing zone after the state assured the Centre of the availability of 2500 acres (10 sq km) of land in one place in Prakasam district. The imminent final approval for the NIMZ, which is expected to give a fillip to the Prime Ministers Make in India campaign, comes four years after the concept was mooted to boost manufacturing in the country and two years after the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion gave an in-principle nod to Andhra Pradesh in this regard.

Indian Economy Current Affairs
UPSC Prelims 2025 International Relations

India is one of the founding members of the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC), a multimodal transportation corridor, which will connect

  1. A. India to Central Asia to Europe via Iran
  2. B. India to Central Asia via China
  3. C. India to South-East Asia through Bangladesh and Myanmar
  4. D. India to Europe through Azerbaijan
Explanation
Correct answer
A. India to Central Asia to Europe via Iran

The International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) is a multimodal transport network aimed at boosting trade between India, Central Asia, Russia, and Europe, using a combination of sea, rail, and road routes via Iran. The corridor connects Mumbai → Bandar Abbas (Iran) → Azerbaijan → Russia → Europe, with access to Central Asia.

International Relations Geopolitics & International Conflicts
UPSC Prelims 2023 Economy

Consider the following Statements :
Statement-I: Switzerland is one of the leading exporters of gold in terms of value.
Statement-II: Switzerland has the second largest gold reserves in the world.

Which one of the following is correct in respect of the above statements?

  1. A. Both Statement-I and Statement-II are correct and Statement-II is the correct explanation for Statement-I
  2. B. Both Statement-I and Statement-II are correct and Statement-II is not the correct explanation for Statement-I
  3. C. Statement-I is correct but Statement-II is incorrect
  4. D. Statement-I is incorrect but Statement-II is correct
Explanation
Correct answer
C. Statement-I is correct but Statement-II is incorrect

* Statement I is correct In 2021, Switzerland exported $86.7B in Gold, making it the 1st largest exporter of Gold in the world. Switzerland is consistently the world's leading gold-exporting country based on value. (Please note: The list is dynamic & keeps varying yearly) * Statement II is not correct. The United States is way out in front as the country with the largest gold reserves in the world at 8,000 tonnes (as of 2024). * In India, the largest resources of gold ore (primary) are located in Bihar (44%) followed by Rajasthan (25%), Karnataka (21%), West Bengal (3%), Andhra Pradesh (3% ), Jharkhand (2 %). The remaining 2% resources of ore are located in Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Kerala, Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu. (PIB 2021) * India is one of the largest gold importers, sourcing 800-1,000 tons annually, mainly from Switzerland, the UAE, and South Africa. Imports are driven by high domestic demand for jewelry and investment. Gold exports, primarily in jewelry, target the US, UAE, and Hong Kong, supporting India's trade through its jewelry manufacturing sector.

Indian Economy International Relations External Sector & Capital Flows