News & Analysis thehindu.com

A ship-sized hole in the budget

24 May 2026 Source

Exam Summary

The article details the severe impact of rising fuel (petrol, diesel, LPG) and food prices (cooking oil, pulses, alternative fuels like firewood) on household budgets and small businesses across Tamil Nadu. It highlights how daily wage earners, gig workers, small restaurants, cloud kitchens, and IT professionals are struggling with increased living and operational costs, while their incomes remain stagnant. Factors contributing to this include Union government fuel price hikes, LPG supply shortages and diversions, and global diversion of cooking oil stocks for biodiesel production. The public is calling for urgent government intervention to regulate these price increases.

GS Paper III - Indian Economy

UPSC concepts in this story

These are durable syllabus ideas — use them for revision, not article memory.

Inflation and its Socio-Economic Impact

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Supply Chain Disruptions and their Economic Impact

Supply chain disruptions, such as reduced LPG bottling, diversion of cooking oils for biodiesel, and panic buying, lead to commodity shortages and increased ...

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Exam Themes

Prelims Takeaways

  • Understand the various factors contributing to inflation, including global commodity prices (crude oil, edible oils) and domestic supply chain issues (LPG distribution).
  • Recognize the widespread impact of inflation on different segments of society, such as daily wage earners, gig workers, small and medium enterprises (SMEs), and middle-class households.
  • Be aware of the role of Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) in the supply and distribution of petroleum products and LPG.
  • Note the use of alternative fuels like Prosopis juliflora (seemai karuvelam) and peanut hulls in response to rising conventional fuel costs.
  • Understand the concept of biodiesel production and its potential impact on the availability and pricing of edible oils.

Elimination Traps

  • Confusing localized price increases with national inflation rates without broader economic context.
  • Misattributing the causes of fuel price hikes solely to state or central government policies without considering global factors.
  • Assuming specific government schemes or interventions are discussed when the article primarily focuses on the problem and public sentiment.

Static Concepts

  • Inflation
  • Supply chain
  • Excise duty
  • Foreign exchange
  • Gig economy
  • Household budget
  • Cost of living
  • Biodiesel
  • Food security

Probable Question Areas

Question areas
  • What are the primary causes and consequences of inflation in the Indian economy?
Question areas
  • Discuss the impact of global crude oil prices and supply chain disruptions on India's domestic economy and household budgets.
Question areas
  • Analyze the challenges faced by the gig economy workers in India, particularly concerning rising operational costs and stagnant incomes.
Question areas
  • Examine the role of government and regulatory bodies in managing the supply and pricing of essential commodities like LPG and edible oils.
Question areas
  • What are the economic implications of shifting to alternative fuels in response to rising conventional energy costs?
Conceptual Recurrence

Related Prelims PYQs

Ranked by topic match, theme match, recency, and recurring UPSC patterns.

UPSC Prelims 2022 Economy

With reference to the Indian economy, consider the following statements:

1. If the inflation is too high, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is likely to buy government securities.
2. If the rupee is rapidly depreciating, RBI is likely to sell dollars in the market.
3. If interest rates in the USA or European Union were to fall, that is likely to induce RBI to buy dollars.

Which of the statements given below is/are correct?

  1. A. 1 and 2 only
  2. B. 2 and 3 only
  3. C. 1 and 3 only
  4. D. 1, 2 and 3
Explanation
Correct answer
B. 2 and 3 only

Statement 1 is incorrect. Typically, the RBI uses open market operations to sell government securities to drain money from the system and control inflation. Buying government securities would inject money into the system, potentially fueling inflation further. Statement 2 is correct. Selling dollars in the market - If the rupee is rapidly depreciating, the RBI might intervene in the foreign exchange market by selling dollars from its reserves. This increased supply of dollars in the market can help stabilize the exchange rate and slow down the depreciation of the rupee. Statement 3 is correct. Lower interest rates in the US/EU make India a more attractive destination for foreign investment, leading to a large inflow of dollars. This causes the rupee to strengthen (appreciate). To prevent the rupee from appreciating too rapidly and hurting exporters, the RBI buys the excess dollars from the market.

Indian Economy Reserve Bank Of India & Monetary Policy Macroeconomic Trends & Inflation External Sector & Capital Flows
UPSC Prelims 2020 Economy

The term 'West Texas Intermediate', sometimes found in news, refers to a grade of

  1. A. Crude oil
  2. B. Bullion
  3. C. Rare earth elements
  4. D. Uranium
Explanation
Correct answer
A. Crude oil

* The term "West Texas Intermediate" (WTI), often seen in news reports, refers to a grade of crude oil. WTI is used as a benchmark for oil pricing in North America. * Specifically, WTI is a light, sweet crude oil, meaning it has a low density and low sulfur content. This makes it easier and more desirable to refine into gasoline and other products. WTI serves as one of the main benchmarks for oil prices globally. * West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent Crude are two of the most important global benchmarks for crude oil prices. Brent Index is used as a benchmark for oil pricing globally, including Europe, Asia, and Africa.

Indian Economy Current Affairs Macroeconomic Trends & Inflation External Sector & Capital Flows
UPSC Prelims 2023 Economy

Correct the following statements:
Statement-I: In the post-pandemic recent past, many Central Banks worldwide had carried out interest rate hikes.
Statement-II: Central Banks generally assume that they have the ability to counteract the rising consumer prices via monetary policy means.

Which one of the following is correct in respect of the above statements?

  1. A. Both Statement-I and Statement-II are correct and Statement-II is the correct explanation for Statement-I
  2. B. Both Statement-I and Statement-II are correct and Statement-II is not the correct explanation for Statement-I
  3. C. Statement-I is correct but Statement-II is incorrect
  4. D. Statement-I is incorrect but Statement-II is correct
Explanation
Correct answer
A. Both Statement-I and Statement-II are correct and Statement-II is the correct explanation for Statement-I

* Statement I- correct: In the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, many central banks around the world observed rising inflation. To combat this inflation, they resorted to raising interest rates. This is a well-established monetary policy tool to curb inflation by making borrowing more expensive and encouraging saving, thereby reducing the money supply in circulation.  * Statement II- correct: Central banks are entrusted with maintaining price stability and managing inflation. Raising interest rates is one of the primary instruments they use to achieve this objective. While other factors can influence inflation, central banks do have the ability to significantly impact it through monetary policy measures. Therefore, both statements accurately reflect the role of central banks and their use of interest rates to manage inflation and statement 2 is the correct explanation for statement 1.

Indian Economy Current Affairs Reserve Bank Of India & Monetary Policy Macroeconomic Trends & Inflation
UPSC Prelims 2021 Economy

India Government Bond Yields are influenced by which of the following?
1. Actions of the United States Federal Reserve.
2. Actions of the Reserve Bank of India.
3. Inflation and short-term interest rates.

Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

  1. A. 1 and 2 only
  2. B. 2 Only
  3. C. 3 Only
  4. D. 1, 2 and 3
Explanation
Correct answer
D. 1, 2 and 3

Statement 1 is correct: The Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, particularly regarding interest rates, can impact global capital flows. If the Fed raises interest rates, it can make US investments more attractive, potentially leading to some outflow of capital from India. This could affect demand for Indian government bonds and influence their yield. Statement 2 is correct: The RBI's monetary policy plays a crucial role in influencing Indian government bond yields. The RBI's actions like setting repo rates, open market operations, and cash reserve ratio (CRR) can affect the overall liquidity in the banking system. Higher liquidity can lead to lower yields, and vice versa. Statement 3 is correct: Inflation expectations and short-term interest rates are important factors for investors when considering the return on government bonds. Higher inflation expectations can lead investors to demand higher yields to compensate for the potential erosion of purchasing power. Similarly, short-term interest rates can act as a benchmark for bond yields. Therefore, all three factors significantly influence the yields of Indian government bonds.

Indian Economy Reserve Bank Of India & Monetary Policy Macroeconomic Trends & Inflation External Sector & Capital Flows
UPSC Prelims 2021 Economy

Which one of the following is likely to be the most inflationary in its effects?

  1. A. Repayment of Public debt.
  2. B. Borrowing from the public to finance a budget deficit.
  3. C. Borrowing from the banks to finance a budget deficit.
  4. D. Creation of new money to finance a budget deficit.
Explanation
Correct answer
D. Creation of new money to finance a budget deficit.

Out of the given options, the most inflationary effect is likely caused by (D) Creation of new money to finance a budget deficit. Option A is incorrect: Repayment of public debt actually removes money from circulation, potentially leading to deflationary pressure. Option B and C are incorrect: Borrowing from the public (B) or banks (C) - While these options involve increasing government debt, they don't directly increase the money supply. The government essentially takes money that already exists in the economy. Option D is correct: Creation of new money is the most inflationary option. This can lead to an increase in the money supply, which can put upward pressure on prices (inflation) if not accompanied by a corresponding increase in goods and services. In essence, printing new money directly expands the money supply, potentially outpacing economic growth and leading to inflation.

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UPSC Prelims 2015 Economy

Which of the following brings out the ‘Consumer Price Index Number for Industrial Workers’?

  1. A. The Reserve Bank of India
  2. B. The Department of Economic Affairs
  3. C. The Labour Bureau
  4. D. The Department of Personnel and Training
Explanation
Correct answer
C. The Labour Bureau

The Labour Bureau, attached to the Ministry of Labour and Employment, is responsible for compiling and publishing the Consumer Price Index Number for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) in India. This index tracks changes in the retail prices of a basket of goods and services consumed by industrial workers. It serves as a crucial indicator of inflation faced by this specific segment of the population. The Labour Bureau is responsible for maintaining:
- CPI (Industrial Workers) - CPI (Rural Labourers) - CPI (Agricultural Labourers)

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UPSC Prelims 2015 Economy

Which reference to inflation in India, which of the following statements is correct?

  1. A. Controlling the inflation in India is the responsibility of the Government of India only
  2. B. The Reserve Bank of India has no role in controlling the inflation
  3. C. Decreased money circulation helps in controlling the inflation
  4. D. Increased money circulation helps in controlling the inflation
Explanation
Correct answer
C. Decreased money circulation helps in controlling the inflation

Option A and B are incorrect: RBI plays a key/primary role in controlling inflation through its monetary policy. Option C is correct: Decreased money circulation can help control inflation, while increased circulation can contribute to it. Option D is incorrect: Increased money supply shall only increase inflation.

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UPSC Prelims 2022 Economy

With reference to the Indian economy, consider the following statements:

1. An increase in Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) indicates the appreciation of rupee.
2. An increase in the Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) indicates an improvement in trade competitiveness.
3. An increasing trend in domestic inflation relative to inflation in other countries is likely to cause an increasing divergence between NEER and REER.

Which of the above statements are correct?

  1. A. 1 and 2 only
  2. B. 2 and 3 only
  3. C. 1 and 3 only
  4. D. 1, 2 and 3
Explanation
Correct answer
C. 1 and 3 only

* Statement 1 is correct. The nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) is a measure of the value of a country's currency against a basket of other currencies weighted by their importance in trade. If NEER increases, it means that the value of the currency has increased relative to the currencies in the basket, indicating appreciation. * Statement 2 is incorrect. The Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) takes into account both nominal exchange rates and relative price levels (inflation) between countries. An increase in REER means that the country's currency is overvalued relative to its trading partners, which can reduce trade competitiveness. * Statement 3 is correct. If domestic inflation is higher than inflation in other countries, the real value of the domestic currency decreases faster than the nominal value, causing a divergence between NEER and REER. Therefore, the correct statements are 1 and 3.

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UPSC Prelims 2019 Social Issues & Schemes

In a given year in India, official poverty lines are higher in some States than in others because

  1. A. poverty rates vary from State to State
  2. B. price levels vary from State to State
  3. C. Gross State Product varies from State to State
  4. D. quality of public distribution varies from State to State
Explanation
Correct answer
B. price levels vary from State to State

* The poverty line is determined by the cost of a basket of essential goods and services needed for a person to meet their basic needs. * If the price of these essentials varies significantly between states, the poverty line needs to be adjusted to reflect the different costs of living. * So, even if poverty rates might be similar, states with higher prices for essential goods will have a higher official poverty line. Therefore, the correct answer is B) Price levels vary from State to State.

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UPSC Prelims 2013 Economy

Which one of the following is likely to be the most inflationary in its effect?

  1. A. Repayment of public debt
  2. B. Borrowing from the public to finance a budget deficit
  3. C. Borrowing from banks to finance a budget deficit
  4. D. Creating new money to finance a budget deficit
Explanation
Correct answer
D. Creating new money to finance a budget deficit

Creating new money to finance a budget deficit will be the most inflationary effect. Because it increases the money supply without any increase in the production of goods and services.

Indian Economy Macroeconomic Trends & Inflation Fiscal Policy & Public Debt Reserve Bank Of India & Monetary Policy