Temporary respite: On the June 2026 data for the Index of Industrial Production

The article analyzes the June 2026 data for the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), which showed a 23-month high growth rate of 7.3%. This growth was attributed to a low base effect, resilience in manufacturing (driven by domestic and external demand), and strong performance in consumer durables and capital goods sectors. The electricity sector also saw significant growth due to a heatwave, and mining recovered from a contraction. However, the article warns of future risks, including the impact of a deficient monsoon on rural demand, volatility in oil prices due to the West Asia crisis, and the need for sustained government capital expenditure to counter these headwinds and ensure continued economic growth.